Past Conferences

Conference Summaries for 2024 Events:

The 28th Conference on Probability and Statistics was held in conjunction with the AMS 104th Annual Meeting January 28 - February 1, 2024 in Baltimore, MD. The full program is available here. Highlights included:

• Sessions on Ensembles and Post-Processing

• Session in Statistics and Machine Learning for Climate Science, joint with the 37th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and 23rd Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science

• Sessions on the Probability and Verification for High Impact Weather Events
   

Oral student presentation awards were won by

1. Jamin Rader: "Subseasonal-to-Decadal Analog Forecasting Using Spatially-Weighted Masks Learned By a Neural Network”
2. Victor Sanchez: "Constraining the Simulated Radiative Effects of Biomass Burning in Southern Africa”
3. Nathan Erickson: "Machine Learning Enhancement for Climate Change Projection of Hazardous Convective Weather”
4. Anastasia Tomanek:  "Forecast Quality of Time-Lagged, Medium-Range, High-Resolution Ensembles over the United States"

Conference Summaries for 2022 Events:

The 27^th Conference on Probability and Statistics was held in conjunction with the AMS Annual Meeting January 24-27 2022, Houston, TX (held virtually due to the COVID-19 pandemic). The Committee on Probability and Statistics also worked with many other Committees to hold joint sessions. The full program can be found here. Highlights include:

• Novel methods of verification and evaluation of forecasts, including verification and validation of space weather
• Sessions in forecast verification and ensemble/probabilistic forecasting, joint with the Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
• Sessions in applications of statistics and machine learning for climate sciences, joint with the Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science and Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Conference Summaries for 2019 Events:

The Committee on Probability and Statistics worked with the Committee on Artificial Intelligence and held a joint symposium and town hall in conjunction with the AMS annual meeting 9 January 2019, Phoenix, AZ. The one day symposium will included:

• Session(s) on the use of AI and Stat models for physical interpretability of nonlinear systems as well as the interpretation of the models themselves
• A core science keynote on "Thinking outside the black box: Physically interpreting machine learning”
• A Town Hall on “Statistics vs. Machine Learning for Complex Problems: White, Black or Grey Boxes?”

Conference Summaries for 2018 Events:

The 25^th Conference on Probability and Statistics was held January 7-10 2018 in Austin, TX in conjunction with the AMS annual meeting.  Topics varied as they do for the probability and statistics committee, but a large focus was centered on ensemble and multi-model forecasting and communicating probabilistic information and predictive skill.  Other topics included representation of model uncertainty, machine learning, decision support, statistical post processing, verification and validation for extreme events, S2S and high resolution verification. 

Our core science keynote speaker was Michael Scheuerer (NOAA) who spoke on “Generating Spatio-Temporal Precipitation Forecast Fields Based on the Output of the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)”.  We also had two additional invited speakers: Jeffrey Whitaker from NOAA, (“Parameterizing Model Uncertainty due to unresolved dynamics in ensemble forecasts”) and Betsy Wetherhead from Univ. of Colorado, Boulder (“Fostering Open Communication About Forecast Improvement”). 

We held two themed joint sessions: we partnered with Artificial Intelligence (AI) for a Joint session on “Machine Learning and Statistics in Data Science” and Weather, Water, and Climate/Environmental Information Processing Technologies for a themed joint session on “Development and Communication of High-Resolution, Ensemble Forecast Information for Forecasting Extreme Weather”.   Each day also included a poster session. 

Past Conferences on Probability and Statistics

Conference on Extreme Value Analysis, July 1-5, 2018, Zagreb, Croatia.

Workshop on Sensitivity Analysis and Data Assimilation in Meteorology and Oceanography, July 1-6, 2018, Aveiro,  Portugal. 

29th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/25th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, June  4-8,  2018, Denver, CO.

International Statistical Ecology Conference,  July 2-6, 2018.  St Andrews, Scotland.

Extremes, Rare Events and Machine Learning,  May 24, 2018, Paris France (Telecom ParisTech, 46 rue Barrault).

25th Conference on Probability & Statistics, 98th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, 7 - 11 January 2018, Austin, Texas, U.S.A.

Advances in Extreme Value Analysis and application to Natural Hazard (EVAN), 5 - 7 September 2017, Southampton, United Kingdom.

EMS Annual Meeting: European Conference for Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 4 - 8 September 2017, Dublin, Ireland.

M17 - High-impact Weather and Climate Extremes Symposium at the IAPSO-IAMAS-IAGA Assembly, 27 August – 1 September 2017, Cape Town, South Africa.

13th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, 95th AMS Anuual Meeting, 4-8 January 2015, Phoenix, Arizona, U.S.A.

21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 23-26 January 2012, New Orleans, Louisiana (Program)
22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 94th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, 2 - 6 February 2014, Atlanta, Georgia, U.S.A.
Harry R. Glahn Symposium: The Evolution of Post-processing Methods in Weather Forecasting and Analysis, 6 January 2015, 95th AMS Annual Meeting, Phoenix, Arizona, U.S.A.

Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling, 95th AMS Annual Meeting, 7 January 2015, Phoenix, Arizona, U.S.A.

23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 10–14 January, 2016, New Orleans, Louisiana (Program).

 24th Conference on Probability & Statistics, 28 - 29 July 2017, Baltimore, Maryland, U.S.A.  Joint with 30th Conference on Climate Variability and Change (CVC), 16th Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the ENVR section of the American Statistical Association (ASA).

23-26 January 2012
21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
New Orleans, Louisiana
Program Chairs: Marina Timofeyeva, Eric Gilleland, Adam Monahan

18-21 January 2010
20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Atlanta, Georgia
Program Chairs: Marina Timofeyeva, Barbara Brown, David Bright, Cécile Penland

21-24 January 2008
19th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
New Orleans, Louisiana
Program Chairs: Richard W. Katz, Cécile Penland

29 January - 2 February 2006
18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Atlanta, Georgia
Program Chairs: Harry R. Glahn, Richard W. Katz

11-15 January 2004
17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Seattle, Washington
Program Chairs: Harry R. Glahn, Richard W. Katz

13-17 January 2002
16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Orlando, Florida
Program Chair: Robert E. Livezey

8-11 May 2000
15th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Asheville, North Carolina
Program Chair: Daniel S. Wilks

11-16 January 1998
14th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Phoenix, Arizona
Program Chair: Barbara G. Brown

21-23 February 1996
13th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
San Francisco, California
Program Chair: Timothy J. Brown

22-26 June 1992
12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
Toronto, Ontario
Program Chair: Paul W. Mielke, Jr.

1-5 October 1989
11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Monterey, California
Program Chair: John A. Flueck

6-8 October 1987
10th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Edmonton, Alberta
Program Chair: Francis W. Zwiers

9-11 October 1985
9th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Virginia Beach, Virgina
Program Chair: Robert E. Livezey

16-18 November 1983
8th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Hot Springs, Arkansas
Program Chair: Richard W. Katz

2-6 November 1981
7th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Monterey, California
Program Chair: Sharon K. LeDuc

9-12 October 1979
6th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Banff, Alberta
Program Chair: Robert G. Miller

15-18 November 1977
5th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Las Vegas, Nevada
Program Chair: Rex J. Fleming

18-21 November 1975
4th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences
Tallahassee, Florida
Program Chair: Thomas A Gleeson

19-22 June 1973
3rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Science
Boulder, Colorado
Program Chair: Allan H. Murphy
 

Other Conferences

November 2020 around-the-clock International Verification Methods Workshop Online (2020-IVMW-O) Is an outreach activity of the WWRP/WGNE Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (JWGFVR).

The International Symposium CLIMATE-ES 2015 on “Research progress on climate change detection and projections for Spain from the IPCC AR5 findings,” Tortosa (Tarragona), Spain, 11-13 March 2015. 

2014 Graybill/ENVR Conference, Modern Statistical Methods for Ecology, 7 - 10 September 2014, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, U.S.A.

14th European Meteorological Society (EMS) Annual Meeting and 10th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC), 6 - 10 October 2014, Prague, Czech Republic.

Mesoscale verification intercomparison over Complex Terrain (MesoVICT) Kick-Off Meeting, 2 - 3 October 2014, Vienna, Austria.  Talks are now available at the meeting's website.

  2014 Climate Informatics Workshop, 25 - 26 September 2014, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Mesa Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A.

2014 Graybill/ASA ENVR Section, Conference on Modern Statistical Methods for Ecology, 7 - 10 September 2014, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, U.S.A.

The World Weather Open Science Conference, 16 - 21 August 2014, Montreal, Canada.

2014 Joint Statistical Meetings of the American Statistical Association, 2 - 7 August 2014, Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.A.

The fourth biennial International Statistical Ecology Conference (ISEC2014) will be held 1 - 4 July 2014 in Montpellier, France.

2014 American Statistical Association (ASA) Section on Statistics and the Environment (ENVR) Spring Meeting: 16 - 19 March, 2014, Baltimore Marriott Waterfront Hotel, Baltimore, MD.

International Short Conference on Advances in Extreme Value Analysis and Application to Natural Hazards, 18 - 20 September 2013, Siegen, Germany

International Symposium on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 1-4 June 1971, Honolulu, Hawaii
Program Chair: Richard H. Jones

1st National Conference on Statistical Meteorology, 27-29 May 1968, Hartford, Connecticut
Program Chair: J.A. Russo, Jr.